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Closest ever WT20 on the cards






For the first time there will be ten teams rather than eight in the
Women's World T20 Cup which starts in Bangladesh on 23rd March, and it
could be the closest fought WT20 ever.



The teams are split into two groups of five - groups A & B - who
will all play each other once. The winner of Group A will play the
second in Group B in the first semi-final and the winner of Group B will
play the runner-up in Group A in the other semi-final. It is going to
be a dog eat dog affair and I can see every team losing at least one
game and the dreaded Net Run Rate coming into play to see who makes
those vital semi-finals.



Group A has Australia, Ireland, New Zealand, Pakistan and South Africa.

Australia will be the favourites to win the group. They are after
all the holders and beat England 2-1 in their latest T20 series. But
they did lose all three of the T20 games in England last season and they
have lost three of their last five T20 games to New Zealand. They have
lost the services of their inspirational captain Lisa Sthalekar since
the last World Cup, and Meg Lanning has only just taken on the role from
Jodie Fields. They do have a habit of winning the games that matter,
but they will be pushed all the way by New Zealand and will get no easy
ride from South Africa.

New Zealand too are a team in transition. Coach Katrina Keenan
resigned in January and Warren Lees has taken over as "interim coach".
He has brought a few new faces into the White Ferns' squad who are
currently performing well against the West Indies. They also have the
buffer of having Suzie Bates and Sara McGlashan in their midst, both of
whom have been in fine form with the bat of late. The two of them are
quite capable of taking a game away from any team they are playing, but
can they do it game after game. It is a big ask.

And talking of big asks, it will be tough for South Africa to
string together four good results on the bounce, particularly when two
of those games will be against Australia and New Zealand. They have
never beaten either team in a T20. On their day they can be very good
with the ball, but they can struggle to post a competitive score with
the bat. But if they can get away to a good start in their first match
against Pakistan, which they will be expecting to win, then their second
game against the Aussies could be tighter than people think.

Pakistan are an improving team, but I think they will have to settle for just one or two victories here. Ireland,
who play in Division 3 of the English County Championship, are making
their first appearance at a T20 World Cup. They fought their way there
through the qualifying tournament (finishing third behind Sri Lanka and
Pakistan), but recently beat Pakistan in a low-scoring game in Doha,
which will boost their confidence when they meet again. As the underdogs
they have nothing to fear and can hopefully play with freedom and get
some decent results.



Group B has Bangladesh, England, India, Sri Lanka and the West Indies.

With all due respect to Bangladesh I think this looks like a four-way contest for the two spots available in the semis.

England made it to the final two years ago and were favourites to
win, having been dominant in the earlier rounds, but they lost by four
runs to Australia. But in those intervening two years they have lost
five players from the team that played in the that final - Holly Colvin
and Arran Brindle have retired, Laura Marsh and Katherine Brunt are
injured and Danielle Wyatt has been left out of the squad. It will be a
very different looking team that takes on West Indies in a crucial first
match in Group B on 24th March. England have in fact lost more T20
matches against the West Indies than they have won (6/5), including
three out in the Caribbean last October. England approach T20 in a much
more controlled way than do the West Indies, which is perhaps dictated
by the very nature of the players on the field. England do not have the
pinch-hitting openers or the lower order batsmen capable of clearing the
boundary rope. The West Indies have a much more cavalier
approach, but will they have the explosive Deandra Dottin in their team?
And if so will she have any sort of form?



Dottin was suspended by the WICB in January for "behaviour unbecoming
that could bring the game of cricket into
disrepute or be harmful to the interests of cricket", after an incident
during the Tri-Nation Twenty20 Women's Series last October in Barbados.
No-one is saying what the incident was, but it seems to have been
something off the field. She was not selected for the current West
Indies tour of New Zealand, but the door seems to have been left ajar to
"reintegrate" her back into the Windies team as she is said to have
been undergoing "evaluation" through to the middle of March. Reading
between the lines it sounds as though if she is contrite and keeps her
nose clean she will be back in, but without too much match practice
under her belt. The Windies are currently having a tough time of it in
New Zealand (two heavy ODI losses), but they may still come good in the
five match T20 series.



India have some great players in their team, but they are not a
great T20 team, and Indian Women's cricket seems to be in the doldrums
at the moment, not helped by the mysogynistic attitude of the BCCI. They
have the talent to win games, but they may well not. In fact if they
lose their first game to Sri Lanka then they may be left fighting it out
for the wooden spoon with Bangladesh. Fortunately the 2016 T20 World
Cup will be held in India, so they will automatically be there come what
may at this tournament.



Sri Lanka are the dark horses in Group B and I am going to stick
my neck out and suggest they may well sneak a semi-final spot (probably
on NRR!). This is a competition which they are targeting. They have some
explosive top order batsmen and some good spin bowlers. They will be
tough to beat and if they can get off to a good start against India, who
they have beaten before, they will trouble both England and the West
Indies.



I will wait for the result of the NZ v WI T20 series and for all the
squads to be announced before I give my final verdict on the four to
make the semis, but it is shaping up to be a great looking tournament.
Shame only the semis and the final will be on tv and then only on
satellite. Hopefully there will be more online streaming of the earlier
games - more news on this as I get it.
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